Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Why has the United States not won a major war since 1945?

Why has the United States not won a major war since 1945?
Mohan R. Limaye
Professor Emeritus
Boise State University
Boise, ID

A few weeks ago (early in May 2014), I posed the above question to my friends and relatives soliciting their answers.

I tend to concur more with responses E, H and L than with the others.

Here is a compilation of all the responses I have received so far:

A. If I were to receive a paper for review based on this premise, I would reject it immediately on the grounds that the underlying assumption is fundamentally flawed: The US did not win the second world war. Both the first and second world wars were won by the allies, not by the United States. This in turn suggests a counter premise that the United States has not won any war since the Civil War against the Confederate States.

This leads me to respond to the spirit of your question with one potential answer: The United States was on the winning side in military activities in the first half of the 20th century as it teamed up with other contemporary (major) military powers.

Remark: have the partners of the US in the military engagements since 1945 had the same strength as the allies in the first / second world war? Might be a good exercise for a military historian. This leads to a further idea: will the US only ever win if it is on the same side as Russia...?

B. First, drawing from my early pacifist roots, I might suggest that a war is never "won" outright. I think good arguments could be raised that the Civil War, WWI, and WWII ended merely with one combatant accepting the surrender of others. But the damage to the U.S. society in each case was profound.

Second, the "wars" (or maybe "conflicts") since 1945 were not fought to be won outright. If they were fought without reservations, modern weapons would have ended the conflicts very quickly. They were fought for position in the global political environment.

C. One thing that comes to mind is: All wars after WW-II were most unpopular among the US populace.

D. We, the US, has fought its "wars" or limited conflicts since Korea without engaging its full force for fear of extreme retaliation.  No big bombs since WWII.  The fear was that China would come to the aid of Korea and Vietnam more so than it already did in both conflicts.  In the mideast both Irag wars and in Afghanistan, the U.S. went in with force, but the insurgents --Taliban- hide out like the Vietcong did in Vietnam and it is impossible to tell the enemy from the friendly troops.  The U.S. pulled out of all these conflicts without destroying the enemy and bringing them to their knees.  The enemy was / is like Medusa and killing one seems to spout a dozen more.   Which tells us that the  U.S. has not won the hearts and minds of  the land.  The natives do not see an outcome better with  the U.S. than with the home troops.  Another reason is that the3 conflicts have been entered into by the U.S. without a clear consensus from the U.S. citizens for  funding the war, for providing solders, and for  sacrificing to win the conflict at all costs.  In short, there is no superordinate goal to rally the country around.  Truman kept McArthur out of North Korea and didn't want a conflict with China.  Johnson couldn't figure out why we were in Vietnam.  Bush fabricated stories about the necessity of  going into Irag.  The U.S. won in Afghanistan with the killing of Bin Ladan, but that produced dozens of successors.

E. I would say that war is a complex exercise, made even more complex by guerrilla warfare tactics as employed in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan.  It's hard to defeat an opponent with the willpower to endure destruction and casualties in the defense of one's home.

F. Here are a few more thoughts:

1. The US successfully carried out the Bosnia mission. This was a small bore (Boer?) war but the region was in the Russian orbit and the US did not back down. There were also a few 'police actions' in the immediate vicinity of the US.

2. The main reason why no large scale wars like the WW II happen is because of  the possession of nuclear arms by major powers. It is ironic that the most feared weapon  has become a deterrent of big wars. The WW II was the main reason why nuclear research got the funding, yet the same 'hot' weapon produced the 'cold' war! One more example of the cooling effect of these weapons is seen in the India-Pakistan relations.

3. I think that the existence of the UN also plays a big part. Bush had to go (and lie) to the General Assembly to go into Iraq. There are frequent cries of 'bomb, bomb Iran' from the hawkish politicians in the US but no administration has dared to do this for fear of global repercussions and condemnation.  

4. Another paradox that someone mentions is how the arms industry helps to tamp down larger conflicts. Clearly, the industry produces arms not for actual warfare but for making money by selling arms to both of the combatants (so that there is no war)! 

G. It is strictly not true that the US hasn't won any wars since '45, but ...

1. There have been no nation-threatening wars (for the US, at least).
2. The definition of what is a war has changed, has become fuzzy.
3. The nature of war has changed.
4. People are far more informed and engage intensely with their govts. The public's appetite for war has waned, in spite of the Govt having Hollywood and the Mainstream Media mostly on its side.
5. The smallest of adversaries is now well armed with devastating weapons and is able to prosecute asymmetrical warfare effectively.
6. War can be, and is, waged in a variety of different ways, some of which are far more effective that the traditional confrontational methods. Economic, electronic and informational warfare are in vogue.
7. Nations and peoples are far more interconnected and interdependent, thus potential wars are often 'headed off at the pass'.
8. Many, long-term, globally-dispersed, low-intensity conflicts, along with constantly stoking insecurity is far more profitable for the arms industry than a few, massive, devastating wars. Let's face it--today's wars are dictated by the arms industry, not by governments or peoples.
H. If I have to give only ONE reason, I’d say that the spirit of nationalism (newly acquired and – ironically – learned from Western nations like us) in the recently independent countries has made it difficult for the U. S. to win outright any wars it fought there since 1945, for instance, in Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan.  In Grenada, we did win.  However, no young Americans, my compatriots, even remember Grenada, let alone find it on the map.  No honest American can claim we won in Iraq and Afghanistan.  A fiery emotion like patriotism is hard to beat.
I. That the US did not win is false.  The US "won" in Iraq-1, Iraq-2 (killed the head), Afghanistan-1, Granada.  The only one they "lost" was Vietnam.

What quantitative measure(s) to use for "win" or "loss" is debatable, but counting the ratio of net devastation (to lives, property, etc) to the two sides, the US has never lost a war so far (except its civil war) - even Vietnam was devastated far more than the US.

J. How about the big win - the cold war?

K. The US over the last 60 years or so has lost its moorings, its sense of purpose and cohesion.  Too much disharmony, too much “me-ness”, and too divergent viewpoints have made any serious war-undertaking impossible.  That was not the case when we launched the Mexican War, the Spanish American War, WWI and WWII.

L. Some of your American friends, Mohan-Rao, who may not know Indian history, will find this parallel from our history rather interesting and instructive.  A mighty Mughal/Moslem emperor (whose empire then stretched from today’s Afghanistan to South-Central India) descended from Northern India into Western India around the latter decades of the 17th century to crush a newly founded Maratha kingdom (a rebellious act in the eyes of the emperor).  He had huge resources at his command – soldiers, weapons and other materials, many times what the Marathas could muster.  Aurangzeb, the emperor, stayed and fought in the Deccan/South-West India for over 25 years.  Finally, he died there; his son -- exhausted and discouraged – gave up the campaign and left for the North.

This tells us why the US has not won any wars since 1945.

M. This article may be of relevance:

Generally speaking, when opponents enter into conflicts—whether birds fighting over a nesting site or states going to war over a border dispute—the actor that previously occupied the territory has an advantage. 

“If somebody’s a resident, they seem to fight harder. They’re much more apt to be aggressive,” Duffy-Toft says. “As residents, they know the feel of it and the smell and where to find food, but if they come to the conclusion that they don’t have the capacity to defend that territory, they will abandon it.”

Sunday, May 18, 2014

Two Faces of Democracy


Two Faces of Democracy

Dr. Mohan R. Limaye   Dr. Ross E. Burkhart

There is a strong impetus today to export democracy, but democracy assumes the shape of the country in which it arises. In this course, we will analyze and compare the world’s first modern democracy (the U.S. with its presidential form) and the world’s largest democratic nation (India with its parliamentary form). The course will focus on how democracy operates in the U.S. and India, demonstrating that democracy in both nations is not a finished product but a continuing process toward improvement. We will explore several dimensions and measures of democracy, such as vibrancy, voter turnouts, civil liberties, and degree of demographic representation in legislatures.

Course Leaders: Dr. Mohan R. Limaye, a Fulbright scholar from
India, is an Emeritus Professor in the College of Business at Boise State University. He has published about and taught courses in international business and in diplomatic relations. Because his older brother was a member of India’s parliament for many years, Dr. Limaye was exposed to his nation’s political debates as a teenager.

Dr. Ross E. Burkhart, Associate Professor of Political Science, is Chair of the Department of Political Science at Boise State University. His teaching specialties are in international relations, comparative politics, and research methodology; and his research on cross-national patterns of democracy has appeared in prestigious political science journals.

Some Propositions regarding the United States



  1. Ten Observations regarding the United States
    June 2014
    Mohan R. Limaye
    Professor Emeritus
    Boise State University

    The following propositions/observations of mine are likely to offend some of my readers.  However, you will agree that education is about challenging and being challenged.  Refutation, condemnation, agreement, corroboration – any of these responses are welcome as long as you give reasons and evidence for your reactions:

    1.     It is a common assumption (and I have been hearing this for a long time) that the U.S. won the Cold War.  If I were a perceptive Russian born and brought up in the “core” of Russia, I would respond, “Forget about the implosion of the Soviet Union.  We {Russia} won the Cold War.  We successfully averted (potential) nuclear attacks from the United States during all those decades.”
    2.     In my view, those Americans who incessantly talk about freedom are the ones who least understand what freedom really is.  These are, for instance, the NRA (National Rifle Association), Tea Party people, and Libertarians.  As I understand the concept of freedom and its practice, there have been only three people in human history who understood and lived a life of “freedom”: The Buddha, Jesus Christ and Mahatma Gandhi.  Sorry, none of them was an American.  As one of my friends puts it, they all had one common characteristic: voluntary acceptance of poverty.  They were persons of zero assets, people with no property.  This does not mean that all beggars are “free”.
    3.     The US imperialist or expansionist and racist tendencies were visible, quite palpable, from way before the U.S. became an independent nation -- in fact, from the time of the first permanent English settlement at Jamestown in 1607.  Certainly, from 1776, some of the Founding Fathers like Jefferson had their covetous eye on the Caribbean islands.
    4.     Talking about the Founding Fathers, I believe that, if we want any progress in this country, we need to stop deifying America’s Founding Fathers.  Raising any questions regarding this veneration is denounced as blasphemous and unpatriotic. In my judgment, we need to move away from the notion of the infallibility of the Founding Fathers.
    5.     The institution, called the US Supreme Court, needs to be abolished.  At best, it is redundant and, at worst, it is obstructive.  The Parliament or any elected body is perfectly capable of deciding on constitutional matters.  The advantage of such an arrangement is that, in democracies, such bodies are accountable to the people, unlike the Supreme Court. 
    1. The challenge for all societies has always been to strike a happy balance, to create a harmonious marriage, between the uniquely capitalistic characteristics of innovation and individual incentive, on the one hand, and the intrinsically socialistic or humanitarian impulse toward equity and compassion, on the other.  Most people may agree that political equality does not have much meaning in the face of economic inequality.
    2. From my standpoint, WWII was a war fought between those who had empires and those who longed for empires.  The British, the French, the Dutch and the Americans (the Allies) already had empires that they wanted to guard jealously, while the Germans, the Italians and the Japanese (the Axis powers) desired to expand their possessions.  Meanwhile, neither of these two parties to the War gave a damn for the colonized, exploited subjects in these empires.
    3. Though the U.S. adores Winston Churchill, I do not admire him at all because he was a hypocrite: Sitting on an empire and talking about noble things like going to war to protect democracy!  Here was a man who did not walk the talk.  And I’m not even mentioning his racism and his cavalier neglect, which resulted in the death of several million Bengalis/Indians of starvation.   
    4. A substantial number of Americans call themselves Christian.  However, in my view, they practice “Christianity without Christ.”  If they really followed the path of Christ, this nation would be overwhelmingly a socialist country, not a plutocracy.  The reality is that this republic is for the rich, by the rich, and of the rich. 
    10 I hope that the U.S. has learned a valuable lesson from its Vietnam War: Once a people find their “identity” and are willing to sacrifice their lives to preserve it, even countries far superior to them (in brute strength and resources) cannot prevail against them.